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20 burning questions going into football season Print E-mail
Written by Lisa Horne   
Monday, 05 May 2008

Let's get right to it......

photo: Radi Nabulsi20- Who will win the Heisman?

Tim Tebow of Florida is the obvious front-runner. But there are some others who will make a strong case; RB Noel Devine of West Virginia, QB Pat White of West Virginia, QB Chase Daniel of Mizzou, RB Beanie Wells of OSU, QB Sam Bradford of Oklahoma, RB Knowshon Moreno of Georgia, WR Michael Crabtree of Texas Tech, U Jeremy Maclin of Mizzou, QB Max Hall of BYU, and RB Joe McKnight of USC. Sleepers: PJ Hill of Wisconsin, WR/RB Percy Harvin of Florida and QB Colt McCoy of Texas.
My three way-too-early early picks are Knowshon Moreno (Georgia), Sam Bradford (Oklahoma) and Chase Daniel (Mizzou)

19- Can LSU repeat?

Heck yeah! A few things have to happen, but the odds are good they can repeat. If Miles can get his QB situation under control, then this could be a special year for the Tigers. Their schedule is what dreams are made of. They play eight games at home, and four on the road, including at Auburn, at Florida and at Arkansas to close out their campaign. If they don't slip up at South Carolina and beat Georgia in Death Valley, they have a solid shot at being undefeated. The Georgia game is the big question mark in terms of them being undefeated, but they can still win the division crown since Georgia is in the SEC East, and LSU is in the West. Playing in any BCS bowl is not an unrealistic expectation for the defending champs, and neither is getting to the Big Dance.

18- Will Michigan contend for the Big Ten crown?

Sorry Wolverines fans, I just don't see this happening. This is a rebuilding year, wait, a revamping year, and you need to be patient. The no-huddle spread offense is being installed, and when you consider the Big Blue has pro set prototype players, I can't forsee anything but a lot of hiccups. The good news, however, is that this team will be a lot more exciting to watch, and because they are running an offense that is very un-Big Ten-like, the Wolverines could catch some unsuspecting teams off guard. The bad news is they play at a dying-for-respect Notre Dame, at Penn State, at Purdue, at Ohio State, and host Wisconsin and Illinois after the Irish game. Their opener against Utah, at the Big House, will be the litmus test for how well they responded to Coach Rich Rodriguez.

17- Will Oklahoma finally be back in the driver's seat and play for the Championship?

This question is fire-hot. Their quarterback Sam Bradford had the best stats of any FBS team last year. Then there is their schedule- as forgiving as one can get. They travel only five times this year, but host Texas and Kansas in back-to-back games. They also get Nebraska and Texas Tech at home, and if they can keep Tech's fireworks down to a low ceiling, they could go undefeated. That's a big if, but Stoops is bent on reversing their current 0-4 BCS bowl streak, and you have to like their chances with the perfect schedule.

16- Is the Pac-10 top-heavy again this year?

Uh...yes. Look for two teams to battle it out for the Pac-10 crown- USC and Arizona State. The rest of the pack will try and be spoilers. Oregon doesn't have Dennis Dixon, but could still make some noise and will be competitive. UCLA has lost 25 seniors- 17 of which were starters- and has a serious quarterback controversy playing out in Westwood. Cal will inexplicably drop two or three games that they should have won, and Oregon State will upset someone huge, but lose to someone they shouldn't have. Only Oregon State, at this point, looks to be the sleeper in the Pac-10; Arizona, Wazzu, U Dubya, and Stanford will once again be in the bottom tier.

15- Will someone other than Va Tech and Boston College step up to the ACC plate?

Yes, and that team will be North Carolina. Butch Davis has amassed too many fantastic recruiting classes to let the talent go to waste. They will contend for the crown. Florida State looks to be the same- full of hope, and unfortunately, too much hype- and the cheating scandals really put a downer on the 'Noles' fans. Miami could see a resurgence, but I still think they are a year away from making a good charge. Boston College doesn't have Matt Ryan anymore, so you have to wonder just how strong they will be.

Georgia Tech still hasn't recovered from losing Reggie Ball a couple of years ago, but they should be competitive, and Frank Beamer will have his Hokies ready for another solid year. Clemson should be causing chaos in the conference and should win the Atlantic division, but why do I think they will muff a few games they should have won? Duke and North Carolina State will both suffer a bad year, and Virginia's hopes will be crushed in their home opener against USC. It's status quo in the ACC, with North Carolina making it tougher this year.

14- Will Weis finally get Notre Dame on track?

No. The problem with Notre Dame is not the players. It's their coach. How desperate is Charlie Weis? He turned over the offense to his OC. Considering that Weis is known as an offensive genius, this is concerning. There is nothing good to come out of this- if the offensive output gets better-and when you are ranked dead last in offense, is there anywhere else but to go up?- then it makes him look overrated as an offensive guru. If the offense still remains the same, then Weis made a poor coaching decision. Either way, perhaps Weis should update his resume?

Weis is in a giant hole, but it's not entirely his fault. Their sked is difficult, and there are only two guaranteed wins, with a third possible one against Pitt. Couple that all in with discontent in South Bend (Zack Frazer and Konrad Reuland gone and Prince leaving), there's some Irish Stew cooking.

13- Who are on the short list to be BCS crashers?

Fresno State, BYU, Southern Miss, Florida Atlantic and Central Florida. They all have BCS-worthy schedules, and all made strong statements last year. Fresno State looks to be the heavy favorite, but BYU is a close second.

12- Which new first year coach will have the most success?

You have to go with Bobby Petrino. Granted, he lost his stable of horses in the backfield, his star receiver Monk in addition to some key players in the secondary, and he has that killer four week stretch against Texas, Alabama, Florida and Auburn. But he does have Ryan Mallett, who is awaiting word on whether or not he will have to sit out this year from the NCAA and lots of veterans returning on both lines. It really all depends on how the offense adjusts to the new, wide open offensive schemes. The talent is there, it's just raw. If the Hogs come out of this season with a winning record, then that will have been a huge success.

11- Will Ohio State contend again for the BCS crown?

Yes, but they will have to work much harder to get there. An undefeated or one-loss season will not guarantee them a BCS Championship game berth anymore. For two years in a row, the Buckeyes have not lived up to the expectations of their fans, and more pointedly, the pollsters. Their one loss last year to Illinois was a tell-tale sign of things to come when the Illini got spanked by USC in the Rose Bowl. Tressel will have to score a lot of points against every team to make a strong case, and will have to beat USC on September 13th.

Come to think of it, their entire season hinges on that game. Look at it this way- their first five games are against Youngstown State, Ohio, USC, Troy and Minnesota. If they aren't 5-0 when they host Wisconsin, then their BCS Championship dreams are toast. And are Youngstown State and Troy the two teams you really want to play before traveling to Southern California? If they beat the Trojans, then the answer is yes, but the Trojans will have traveled to Virgina for their season opener and then get a bye before Ohio State. Bottom line? The Trojans will have played a quality opponent on the road and then have had two weeks to prepare for the Buckeyes, while the Buckeyes will have played two lower-tiered teams (one an FCS school) before packing their bags and heading into the Coliseum. Their BCS dreams will be answered, one way or another, on September 13th.

10- Will there be a BCS controversy this year?

You can count on it. Last year's controversy was emphatically answered by LSU- they proved why a two-loss team deserved to play in that game. This year could get really dicey. You have the Florida-Georgia battle in the SEC's East, with one team left holding the bag. What if Florida beats Georgia, then loses to say Vanderbilt, and Georgia only has one loss? To Florida. Now what? Florida plays probable LSU for the SEC Championship crown and Georgia goes to another BCS bowl. A team that lost to Vandy could land in the title game.

The Cinderellas lurking around could also add fodder to the arguments. If Fresno State goes undefeated, and the highest rated BCS conference team has two losses, should Fresno State get a shot? What about a team that doesn't win their respective conference championship? It's not written in stone that you have to win your conference, remember? Then there's Jerry Jones' new one billion dollar stadium being finished up for the Dallas Cowboys. There's rumors that the BCS might consider that venue as a fifth bowl game in the BCS Championship series. The good news is that slowly, it's getting more to a play-off scenario- the BCS just doesn't realize it yet.

09- Will the NCAA make a decision on USC's role in Reggie-gate?

Hopefully. It's going into year three, and for all intents and purposes, a decision needs to be made. If the NCAA can't prove lack of institutional control, then move on. That seems to be the point holding up whether or not USC gets hit with some sanctions. The longer they wait, the more unfair the punishment will be. Why should players who didn't even play with Bush have to suffer the penalty? The Sooners of Oklahoma argued that exact same point when they got sanctioned, and won in their appeal. The NCAA is dragging their feet again, and setting themselves up for an automatic appeal if they do sanction the school. With precedence already established by the Sooners' appeal, this could be a slap in the face for the NCAA. In short, they have blown it.

8- Which BCS conference will prove to be the strongest?

As much as I dislike talking about conferences, everybody else uses a conference's strength as an argument as to who has the best team. And so I go into this with hesitancy. But this year looks like it will be the year of the Big 12. Oklahoma, Kansas, Mizzou, Texas and Texas Tech will all be super strong this year. All of those teams have Heisman contenders, and all of them have a chance to win the Big 12.

The SEC will drop off a little bit this year. Kentucky doesn't have 'Dre, Tenn. doesn't have Ainge, Vandy is Vandy, Mississippi State is very mediocre, Mississippi and Arkansas have new coaches, Alabama has had strong recruiting classes, but still isn't there yet and South Carolina has so many question marks, you pretty much have to peg them as a .500 team. Auburn, Florida, Georgia and LSU are the big dawgs. The rest are puppies.

The Pac-10 is very top-heavy, with USC and Arizona State on top. Oregon State, Cal and Oregon have shots of making some noise, and the rest of the Pac, Washington, Wazzu, Stanford, UCLA, and Arizona will be lucky to hit .500.

The Big 10 will be a bit more open, but I see two teams making a run for it; Ohio State and Wisconsin. Illinois is again, in the mix, but could move up to the top if Juice Williams plays more consistently, and Michigan State will make a slight whimper to stir things up a bit. Michigan, Penn State Purdue and Minnesota will be mediocre, while Indiana and Northwestern round out the bottom.

The Big East will be more exciting, and I have them pegged above the ACC, slightly. South Florida, West Virginia, Rutgers and Louisville will all be strong, and Cincy could cause a lot of trouble for these teams. UConn and Pitt will be right in the middle, and Syracuse dead last. Again.

ACC....see question 15.

#7- Which coaches will be on the hot seat if the team doesn't meet expectations?

Charlie Weis, Mike Stoops, Steve Spurrier, Tommy Bowden, Bobby Bowden and Joe Paterno. Ok, those last two coaches will never be fired, and rightfully so. But there will be discontented whispers, and that may cause a new opening in the Athletic Department to come up, if the Nits and the 'Noles don't have winning seasons and/or a bowl berth. Or the conduct of their players continues to be a sore spot. Weis has already been explained in question #14, and Mike Stoops is sharing the hot seat with him. Simply put, Arizona hasn't improved, and it looks like Stoops' real talent- that of a DC- would be better served back in Norman, Oklahoma.

Steve Spurrier has been put on the hot seat because when you are making as many millions as he is, dropping five straight games after reaching #6 doesn't cut it. Throw in some questionable discipline techniques, four years to rebuild, and you have a seat dialed up to hot. Tommy Bowden's record is very good at Clemson; 87-46. Heck, he was even coach of the year in 2006. But when are we going to move past the Champs Sports Bowl, Chick-fil-A bowl and the Music City Bowl? The Tigers are loaded this year, and there is no excuse for them not to be in a BCS bowl. None.

#6- Which BCS teams will be the sleepers this year?

Sleepers are, by defintion, those teams who have not been in the mix lately. While Illinois was a sleeper last year, they are no longer flying below the radar.

ACC- North Carolina
SEC- Mississippi State
Pac- 10- Oregon State
Big Ten- Michigan State
Big East- Cincinnati
Big 12- Texas Tech

#5- Which teams will be the most disappointing?

You have a few teams that are on the cutting edge of being great, but just haven't been able to cross the threshold.

Kansas- they will surprise no one this year. They had their shot last year.
Cal- always being mentioned in the top 25, and never living up to the expectations.
Penn State- the quarterback issue and their best linebacker out for the year spells disaster.
Alabama- not quite there yet, but the fans are getting impatient. It takes time to build a great team.
UConn- after a surprisingly good last season, and a ton of veterans returning, I'm still not a believer.
Nebraska- the fans should not expect anything, but they are Husker fans, so this will be ugly.
Notre Dame- three wins should seal Charlie's fate.

#4- Which BCS teams have the softest schedule?

Clemson:
Alabama, The Citadel, North Carolina State, South Carolina State, Maryland, @Wake Forest, Georgia Tech, @ Boston College, @ Florida State, Duke, @ Virginia, South Carolina. While they have two SEC teams on their schedule, the two FCS (Citadel and South Carolina State) schools wipe that out. I thought it was against NCAA rules to sked two FCS schools.

Texas Tech:
Eastern Washington, @ Nevada, SMU, Massachusetts, @ Kansas State, Nebraska, @ Texas A&M, @ Kansas, Texas, Oklahoma State, @ Oklahoma and Baylor. They only have to win 2 conference games to be bowl eligible, and K State and Nebraska look like shoo-ins. Another two FCS schools scheduled make this really soft.

Indiana:
Western Kentucky, Murray State, Ball State, Michigan State, @ Minnesota, Iowa, @ Illinois, Northwestern, Central Michigan, Wisconsin, @ Penn State and @ Purdue. Four road games, no Michigan or Ohio State on the sked and two FCS teams (WKU is probie FBS). Are you kidding me?



#3- Which BCS team has the hardest first half of the season?

Wisconsin, without a doubt. They start out with Akron and Marshall, then it's fasten your seat belts. They play @ Fresno State, @ Michigan, host Ohio State, then Penn State. That's as brutal as it gets. There's two losses in there for sure, most likely OSU and FSU.


#2- Which teams will win their respective BCS conferences?

Big Ten: Ohio state
Pac-10: USC
SEC: Georgia (with LSU in a close second place)
ACC: Va Tech
Big East: South Florida
Big 12: Oklahoma (but Mizzou is a close second place)



#1 BCS Championship game teams will be?

USC v Georgia

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Comments (9)add comment

Fred said:

Complete your fact checking next time. Ohio State plays YSU and Ohio U before USC. Not a big difference, but Troy isn't a bad team either.
And FAU? That's a laugher.
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May 05, 2008
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JEH45 said:

Lisa: Welcome to DRS! Great to have a california girl on board & it ought to make the podcast before the OSU/USC game interesting. Do you know if that game is under the lights or not? Regardless, it will be a primetime early season matchup!
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May 05, 2008
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JEH45 said:

Lisa: Just got the answer to my question-gametime is 8pm eastern. Re your Heisman list if Chris Wells would go off against USC you have to add him to your list. I hope he goes off, but for health reasons I hope his carries are spread around during the season.
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May 05, 2008
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WhoooTex said:

The game, as always, is played at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas. In the post-Vince Young era, the teams have split two meetings, one a deceivingly lopsided 28-10 Texas win in 2006 and last year's classic, an OU win. I wouldn't exactly mark that game down as being part of Oklahoma's "perfect" schedule just because they get to wear the home jerseys.

Good writeup, makes me look forward to the season-- will continue to visit if this is the quality of writing we can expect. Good stuff.
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May 07, 2008 | url
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Lisa said:

Fred-

Thanks for your comments. I guess all of those cupcakes OSU feeds on had me more momentarily confused.

Jeh...hey, it's 5 pm PST, but could be subject to change....I have a feeling ESPN will make it their College Game Day featured game. Stay tuned.

Whooo....yes, it's played on a neutral turf, but every year, one team hosts another. There has to be a home and visiting team, correct?
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May 07, 2008
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WhoooTex said:

"one team hosts another. There has to be a home and visiting team, correct?"

But your writeup makes it sounds like it's somehow advantageous that Oklahoma "hosts" Texas this year. You wrote specifically, "(OU) travel(s) only five times this year, but host(s) Texas ...and you have to like their chances with the perfect schedule." Same fan seating, same ticket allocation-- can you explain WHY you think that contributes to Oklahoma's "perfect" schedule? How is being the designated "home" team any more "perfect" than any other year in which OU plays Texas? The absolute, singular, and only difference is that OU gets to wear crimson jerseys this year. Do you really believe that contributes to their chances of victory...?
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Lisa Horne said:

Psychologically speaking, yes, it can be an advantage. They are the home team, and psyches have been known to be affected by that. I simply went by the home team, visiting team format, and was going over the actual schedule. Some teams actually make more of a big deal over having "home field" advantage than others. A coach may even bring it up, saying, "this is our turf, our home." You get the gist of it. Could the fact that you are a Longhorn fan be any reason why you are a bit defensive about that statement? There's only 60 miles or so difference between Norman, Oklahoma to Dallas, and Austin to Dallas.
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May 07, 2008
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io said:

very well written, good to have you here on the site
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May 08, 2008
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Lloyds Apple said:

Great article and welcome aboard!

I think ND will be bowl eligible this year. I think if USC makes it to the title game after losing all those guys who just were drafted, more power to them. To me that's unlikely.

Without Ryan Perrilloux I don't see how the LSU Tigers can expect to repeat. Even with him, it was going to be tough but now they'll have to wait at least one season to break someone in.

I don't want to see Chase Daniel mentioned for Heisman any more.
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May 12, 2008
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